Tuesday, March 9, 2010

TEN YEAR REPORT


Presented here, for the first time, is the closest description of the Unknown Male what he looks like, what he does, how he behaves, where he lives. Obviously, because his identity remains unknown, these are theories, not facts, but if recent history is any indication, when he is finally caught, he will be remarkably close to much of the description provided by FBI experts. One crucial aspect of the revised “profile” relates to the ubiquitous poster of the suspect. Remember the undistinguished drawing of the slightly built man, unremarkable in appearance? Forget it. At least for now, set it aside. It could be that the Poster Man is not an accurate portrayal of the Unknown Male. The description provided by witnesses was based on fleeting glimpses of a man seen approaching Amy, but not in actual contact with her. There was no reason to scrutinize him and nothing extraordinary about his actions or appearance. Wrenn emphasizes that “people should not hesitate to contact us if they have some information, but the man doesn’t look like the drawing I can’t say that strongly enough.”The rest is a behavioral composite based on 10 years of available information. The offender is a white male. At the time of the crime, he was in his mid- to late 30s, older than average for a first-time child aggressor. He is not remarkable in appearance, within average ranges of height, weight and build. He may look presentable, but not accomplished or professional. “He is socially marginalized, ” according to Etter. “Not in the mainstream, not a run-of-the-mill citizen.”“He won’t fit in with his peers very well, especially women,” adds Lord, “and the people who know him will describe him as ‘odd’ or ‘difficult.’ It’s likely that he was living alone, with a single roommate, or maybe still at his parents’ house.” It is most unlikely he was in a successful marriage, with a normal home and family life.One of the most intriguing aspects of the report is that the killer was most likely to have undergone some sort of dramatic change in his behavior, personality or appearance in the weeks preceding the crime. He developed a sudden compulsive or obsessive disorder, experienced a personal catastrophe or an emotional setback. “He may have started drinking heavily, or stopped drinking suddenly,” says Wrenn. “He could have started into hard drugs or quit a drug habit.” There was a drastic change in his life, maybe a sudden fascination with a cult or radical religious group. Something happened to this man in the fall of 1989, something that would have been noticeable to close friends or relatives.” There was a pre-event stressor,” says Lord, “something that took him from fantasy to action.”The stress in his life may have been reflected in a dramatic change in his physical appearance. He let his hair grow long or cut it very short. His health suffered. His weight fluctuated. There were changes in his appearance or lifestyle.In addition, one important logistical aspect should be noted. This man was not passing through. Contrary to the family’s trusting conviction that no one known to any of them was involved, authorities are confident that the Unknown Male has “… reason to know this area,” according to Etter; “A resident, a contract worker or delivery person familiar with Bay Square.” Lord cites the need for such a predator to select a “hunting ground where he can … move comfortably through the tall grass.”Lord explains that the Ashland County location is just as important. “This was not random,” he says. “When you are disposing of something thatc ould ruin your entire life, you’re going to be careful.” The Unknown Male knew County Road 1181. He had been on that lonely stretch of asphalt before. He knew he could quickly place Amy’s body just over a shallow ridge a few yards from the pavement and expect it would go undiscovered for weeks or months. Wrenn confirms the conclusion: “Yes, we think he was familiar with Bay Village and familiar with the area in Ashland.”The experts go another step. “We believe he had knowledge of the family,” says Etter, “personal knowledge in considerable detail.”The most disturbing part of the report concerns his behavior since the crime. Because there has not been a similar crime reported at least nothing like the complicated telephone plot to lure Amy to a deadly rendezvous the general perception is that, to the best of the investigators’ knowledge, the Unknown Male has never claimed another victim.“We don’t know that he hasn’t done this again,” says Etter. “He may have left the area and done something far away, orhe may have changed his M.O.” Etter goes on to explain the difference between an M.O. and the signature of a criminal. “An M.O. is just what works,and it can vary,” he notes. “The signature aspects of a crime do not vary they are fundamental.” Because of the single known crime and limited evidence, there is no known signature in Amy’s case. The unique M.O. the phone-call setup may have evolved to a different tactic.The best hope experts cite for new information is from past victims, and they believe there may have been some who have never spoken up. “If you look at the statistics,” says Etter, “it is likely this person had criminal sexual contact with other female children and some of those acts may not yet have been reported.”

12 comments:

Liz Russ said...

TO ALL:

I thought it would be a good idea to show the ten year report again just to refresh everyones memory. Moving on..........

Liz Russ said...

To All:

here's what I'm getting from this report. He could be as follows,

1.a slightly built man
2.white male
3.mid-to late 30s
4.older than average for a first time aggressor.
5.not remarkable in appearance.
6.average height,weight,and bulid
7.Looks presentable, not accomplished or professional.
8.He is socially marginalized,not in the Main stream,not a run of the mill citizen,
9.he won't fit in with his peers very well,especially woman.
10. people who know him will describe him as odd or difficult.
11. It's likley he was living alone or with a single roommate, maybe still at his parents house.
12.unlikley in a successful marriage.
13.The killer was most likley to have undergone some sort of dramatic change in his behavior, personality,or appearance in the weeks preceding the crime.
14. he developed a sudden compulsive or obsessive disorder, experienced a personal catastrophe or an emotional setback.
15. he may have started drinking heavily ,or stopped drinking suddenly.
16. he could have started in to hard drugs or quit a drug habit.
17. there was a drastic change in his life, maybe a sudden fascination with a cult or radical religious group.
18. something happened in the fall of 1989, something that would have been noticeable to close freinds or relatives.
19.there was a pre-event stressor.
20. something that took him from fantasy to action.
21. the stress in his life may have been reflected in a dramatic change in his physical appearance. He let his hair grow long or cut it very short.His health suffered. His weight fluctuated. There were changes in his appearance or lifestyle.
22. this man was not passing through.
23. the unknown male has reason to know this area. A resident, a contract worker or delivery person familiar with Bay Square.
24.The Ashland county location is just as important.This was not random.
25.The unknown male knew County Road 1181, he had been down that lonely stretch of road before.
26.He was familiar with Bay Village and familiar with the area in Ashland.
27.He had knowledge of the family. personal knowledge in considerable detail.
28. it is likely this person had criminal sexual contact with other female children.

esora said...

Perhaps this profile has been so unsuccessful in catching the person, because they have profiled the wrong person.

We seem to have a theory going of multiple people involved in this crime. The person seen by the witnesses could have just been the guy the "stranger" asked to take her. And while the physical description matches him, the rest of the profile does not.

Anonymous said...

#8-21: How do they come up with these conclusions? What if it was a psychopath like Bundy or BTK? I'm just interested in how they come up with this profile. I remember some LE saying somewhere to look for someone who's had a change in behavior post crime. But what if there was no change in behavior? Maybe this person felt no remorse. This was pre-meditated, this person stalked Amy and picked her out and went to deceptive means to get her. It reminds me of BTK some, if you ever read his case. I did just recently as I never examined it before. Your mention of Jacob Wetterling led from one thing to another and I've been reading on Web Sleuths and Crime Library. Have you thought of getting their take on this case? I'm just keeping an open mind to some degree. Renner has seemed to have put all his eggs in the Runkle basket and I'm really not impressed with the Nature Center connection or that log book. I'm wondering if this guy saw Amy around the neighborhood, followed her home, started scoping her out, found her phone number in the book, found out what her mother does, etc. I also think this very well could have been done by only one person.

However, is there any possibility of finding this "Sandy" and what she has to say. If the owner is eventually found, perhaps they can tell who the person was that rented the house.

Thanks for the response on the other post. I don't post much because I don't really have much to add, just questions and comments on what has already been offered. But I sure as heck don't want to put out false info to mess things up when I do so I felt bad for that. Thanks again.

I sure wish I had more to offer. Honestly, reading about all the cold cases out there, I'm starting to feel afraid that this won't get solved, especially since we can't even test any DNA. But that doesn't mean we don't keep on trying. There is still some hope.

esora said...

@ Anonymous. I am with you on 8-21. Seriously that is some guessing. Not everyone follows the same person.

(assuming there was more than one person involved.) What if, the "stranger" just hired someone to take her? What if he knew someone, and just said I will give you a thousand dollars to pick this girl up for me. Then, the majority of that profile does not apply to the person hired just to take her.

It is possible that just one person planned this out. And, if they were so detailed oriented in their planning (the getting to know info, and taking the time to establish a relationship with her, rather than just taking her from the street), they who is to say this person would all of a sudden change.

Either way, I don't think this profile is working.

Liz Russ said...

To All:

I'd like you to know if by chance I'm right in what I had turned in, then the entire profile is correct.
You could be right about other people involved.I think some of the findings is just basic for everyone, I know I've heard a few of them before on different cases.Don't worry about being wrong someone will tell you, they always tell me. I'm still asking around about Sandy, I kinda wonder if she is shaking up with Ruth!!

don't let it get you down about not being solved yet, it will be.I've waited 20 yrs. I got this feeling thing going on, they'll get them! SOON!

Anonymous said...

Liz, your confidence gives hope to the case! Thank you for your diligence.

What did you turn in and to who? I surely hope TPTB thoroughly investigates your findings.

Liz Russ said...

Anonymous:

Because the perp. does check the net to see what's going on with the case,I can't say to much.If I'm wrong I'll let you know.I've been wrong before.Think POSITIVE.

Liz Russ said...

watch for my next topic!

Anonymous said...

Liz,

Are we assuming the perp checks the net or have you seen evidence of this?

Thanks for all your hard work!

Anonymous said...

I know this because I've seen the address come up a few times.
I know that address to belong to this person.

Liz

Anonymous said...

Laura
have you heard any more from the author Stacey Dittrich?